Blaise Pascal (19 June 1623 – 19 August 1662) was a French mathematician, physicist, inventor, philosopher, writer, and Catholic theologian credited with being the first writer on probability theory.
UNDERSTANDING PROBABILITY
What is the chance that two people share a birthday?
Key questions
What is probability?
Can we find simple theoretical probabilities?
What is relative frequency and the law of large numbers?
Can we apply systematic listing strategies?
What is the product rule for counting?
7 lessons
Specification detail
Literacy
stories that set a frame or background
stories that accompany or intertwine
stories that introduce
stories that explain
stories that ask a question
stories that entertain
The Number Devil by Hans Magnus Enzensburger
A Very Improbable Story by Edward Einhorn
Conned again, Watson
Pascal
Fermat
Introduce...
counters in a bag - 1, 2, 3
dibingo - 1, 2, 3, 4
fair or unfair games - 1, 2, 3
filling spinners - 2
greater chance urns - 1, 2
probability ks2 questions - 1, 2
quirky dice - 2, 4
spinner puzzle - 1, 2
words probability - 1, 2
rock, paper, scissors - 1, 2, 3
Develop...
estimated frequency - 2, 3
horse racing game - 2, 3, 4
listing outcomes don - 2, 4
listing outcomes - 2, 4
probability games - 1, 2, 3, 4
sample space scenarios - 2, 4
sicherman dice - 2, 4
two dice 2 way tables - 2, 4
Extend...
combinations - 4, 5
design a game of chance - 1, 2
hexapawn - 4
monty hall - 1, 2, 3, 4
quincunx - 2, 4
sample space puzzles - 2, 4
two whites unit fractions - 1, 2
yahtzee - 1, 2, 3, 4
macmahon triangles - 4
birthday paradox - 2, 3